Acme Mobility · CompassStrategy positioning · 25 Apr 2026
Quarterly review
2x2 · Q2 2026

Where each thesis earns a verdict.

Right-to-play against market attractiveness. Bubble size = capital required. Color = horizon. The grid forces ranking; the rationale captures why.
Now horizon
Next horizon
Later · watch
⌀ size = $ required
Market attractiveness
Build
Pursue
Decline
Watch
EV-CHG
t1$1.05B · pursue
TELE-DATA
t5$0.45B · pursue
AUTO-LOG
t3watch
H2-HD
t4decline
Acme right-to-play

Pursue (NE)

EV-CHG and TELE-DATA cluster top-right. Both score high on both axes — the rare combination that justifies inorganic-led capital deployment in the same year.

Build (NW)

BATT-VI is attractive but Acme's right-to-play is shy of full conviction. The verdict is hybrid M&A + capex — buy cathode, build the rest.

Watch & decline (S)

AUTO-LOG and H2-HD sit south. Asset prices in autonomy are unattractive given Veridian; hydrogen is structurally early. Both incubate, neither funded.

t1 · EV-CHG · Pursue

EV fleet charging infrastructure

Position · 0.82, 0.78
Pursue quadrant

The depot footprint is the moat. Acme operates 1,400 fleet depots across NA and EU; the dealer channel sells to Tier-1 commercial buyers; the SiC inverter fab supplies the power-electronics tier. Three capabilities, one defensible position. The verdict — Pursue — follows directly from the rubric below.

Pursue. Inorganic-led. 18-month window.

Scoring rubric

Right-to-play
0.82
Capability fit (c3, c5, c8 supply)
0.90
Channel power (Tier-1 fleet relationships)
0.88
Asset rarity (depot footprint)
0.92
Talent + ops adjacency
0.62
Regulatory tailwind (NEVI, DOE)
0.78
Market attractiveness
0.78
TAM 2030 ($74B)
0.84
Growth rate (24% CAGR)
0.80
Profit pool durability
0.70
Competitive intensity (inverse)
0.55
Customer willingness to pay
0.88

Capital

  • Tranche size$1,300M
  • Voltaira IOI$1,050M
  • Reserve / 2nd source$250M

Window

  • LOI deadline29 days
  • Diligence runway14 wks
  • Council vote2 May

Counter-positions

  • BlackRock Infrastructurecircling
  • Shell Rechargestrategic
  • EVgo + KKRmonitor
Conviction
0.78
Quadrant
Pursue
Last moved
21 Apr
Reposition mode

Argue the move.

Drag a bubble to a new quadrant — the system asks for evidence.
Market attractiveness
Build
Pursue
Decline
Watch
AUTO-LOG
prior
EV-CHG
TELE-DATA
H2-HD
Acme right-to-play