Good morning, Mei-Lin.
Six theses, two open windows, one decision drafted. Here's what your quilt looks like today.
Friday · 25 April 2026 · 09:14 EDT
M. Cheng · Corp Dev VP
M. Cheng · Corp Dev VP
Lead verdict 📌
EV-CHG · t1 · Active
The depot is the moat.
Voltaira IOI in market at $1.05B. Cannibalization model provisionally clean. LOI window closes in 29 days; counsel pre-clearance pending.
Conviction
0.78σ 0.06
Capital
$1.0B– $1.5B
Window
29dto LOI
Targets · A & B priority
- AVoltaira NetworksEV-CHG · IOI sent2.2×
- APulsewave TelematicsTELE-DATA · IOI draft5.1×
- AMileway DataTELE-DATA · open8.0×
- BNorthwind ChargingEV-CHG · 2nd source3.4×
- BSwitchback PowerEV-CHG / RETRO-EV2.5×
- BGranite CathodeBATT-VI4.2×
Conviction · 14d
EV-CHG
0.78
TELE-DATA
0.81
BATT-VI
0.66
RETRO-EV
0.58
AUTO-LOG
0.42
Pipeline coverage
87%
Weighted across capability × thesis matrix.
+4pp this quarter
Capital deployable
$1.4B
Cash on hand plus revolver capacity, net of committed deals.
−$240M post-Voltaira (modeled)
Capability strengths
Powertrainc1
.92
Dealer channelc5
.88
Logisticsc3
.84
Power electronicsc8
.78
Roadmap · this quarter through next
Two theses are Now, two are Next, two are watching.
Q2'26
Q3'26
Q4'26
Q1'27
Q2'27
Q3'27
Q4'27
Q1'28
Q2'28
Q3'28
Q4'28
2029
Signals · 24h
09:14Voltaira Series D rumored at $1.2B post — Reuters+0.04
08:48Northwind — PE infrastructure desk circling, secondary+0.02
08:12Drayton restructure rumored — talent leaving, AUTO-LOG−0.03
17:02
Apr 24Pulsewave CEO at Hannover Messe — overlap with EV-CHG SDK+0.06
Apr 24Pulsewave CEO at Hannover Messe — overlap with EV-CHG SDK+0.06
11:48
Apr 24Cannibalization phase-1 — dealer GP exposure 40-62 bps+0.03
Apr 24Cannibalization phase-1 — dealer GP exposure 40-62 bps+0.03
Decision today
Advance EV-CHG to Pursuing.
5 of 6 stage-gate checks cleared. HSR pre-clearance routes on save. Drafted 14:18.
Click to review
Open theses
6
Two Now · two Next · two Later
Targets
10
3 priority A · 5 priority B
Capability gap · if c5
.92
.71
.84
.66
×
.42
.55
.78
Lose c5 (dealer channel) → 3 theses orphaned · coverage 87→51%